GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 1/28/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

U. Catolica are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Curico Unido are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

80.4%

Model confidence

80.4%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaWDWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Curico UnidoWWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
U. CatolicaCurico Unido
74.1Attack33.3
51.9Defence35.6
55.6Form25.6
59.7Power34.5
3.31xG0.82
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