GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

U. Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

10.9%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaLWDWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
U. CatolicaCoquimbo Unido
74.1Attack47.1
51.9Defence58.8
55.6Form49.0
59.7Power53.3
2.00xG1.22
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