U. CatolicavsCoquimbo Unido

U. Catolica are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.