Tzeirey Tiravs
Hapoel Hadera
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Hadera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tzeirey Tira 0-1 Hapoel Hadera
Original prediction
Hapoel Hadera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.86 | 18.4% | 17.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.6% | 23.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.0% | 58.1% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Hadera
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Hapoel Hadera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60