Tzeirey Tiravs
FC Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Jerusalem · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tzeirey Tira 0-2 FC Jerusalem
Original prediction
FC Jerusalem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 19.1% | 23.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 26.9% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.2% | 49.7% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
FC Jerusalem
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
FC Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00