Tzeirey Tamravs
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Baka El Garbiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tzeirey Tamra 1-3 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Original prediction
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.4% | 31.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 25.6% | 24.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.0% | 43.9% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Ironi Baka El Garbiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00