Tzeirey Tamravs
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tzeirey Tamra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tzeirey Tamra 1-4 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Original prediction
Tzeirey Tamra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.2% | 47.6% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.1% | 26.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 36.7% | 25.7% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Tzeirey Tamra
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Tzeirey Tamra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20