Tzeirei Umm al-Fahmvs
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
SCHEDULEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/6/2026, 5:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.5% | 29.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 26.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.3% | 44.4% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tzeirei Umm al-FahmLDDLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Umm al-FahmDWDDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm
16.7Attack66.7
16.7Defence66.7
16.7Form100.0
21.0Power80.3
1.12xG1.71