Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tyumen 0-1 Zenit 2
Original prediction
Zenit 2
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.9% | 26.4% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.2% | 22.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.9% | 51.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Zenit 2
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Zenit 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TyumenLWWWW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Zenit 2WWWDD
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TyumenZenit 2
73.3Attack92.6
53.3Defence85.2
63.3Form85.2
62.8Power85.0
1.24xG2.03