Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tyumen are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Khimki are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimki hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80