Tyumenvs
Dinamo Moskva II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tyumen · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tyumen 5-2 Dinamo Moskva II
Original prediction
Tyumen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.6% | 64.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 20.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.85 | 15.5% | 15.0% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Tyumen
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Tyumen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40