Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Tychy 71

Tychy 71

Home
W
11
Full time
Třinec

Třinec

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Třinec33%
Tychy 7133%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Tychy 71
33%
Draw
33%
Třinec
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tychy 71
73
Třinec
34
Defence
Tychy 71
66
Třinec
6
Momentum
Tychy 71
100
Třinec
0
Danger (xG)
Tychy 71
1.80
Třinec
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.78 xG for Tychy 71 and 1.32 xG for Třinec — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.46), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.09 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Tychy 71)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Třinec)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tychy 71)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Třinec)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tychy 71Tychy 71
WD
TřinecTřinec
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Tychy 7133%
Draw33%
Třinec33%

Třinec leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Tychy 71 Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Tychy 71 host Třinec in Friendlies Clubs. Tychy 71 have recorded WDWDDW in recent matches while Třinec arrive with a run of WLLLDD.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.78 for Tychy 71 and 1.32 for Třinec. The gap of 0.46 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Tychy 71 have been conceding 1.54 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Tychy 71

Tychy 71

W
vs Sigma Olomouc II
11 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
17 May 2026
00
Třinec

Třinec

L
@ Sigma Olomouc II
10 Jun 2026
13
D
@ Uničov
17 May 2026
33

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tychy 71 vs Třinec?

GoalVio's model predicts Tychy 71 to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tychy 71 vs Třinec?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Tychy 71 vs Třinec?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tychy 71 vs Třinec?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more