Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Txantrea · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Txantrea 0-0 Cortes
Original prediction
Txantrea
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.8% | 36.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 30.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 33.3% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Txantrea
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Txantrea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TxantreaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CortesL
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
TxantreaCortes
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.08xG0.92