GGOALVIO

Austria · Cup · 7/21/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SKN ST. Polten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

TWL Elektra are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while SKN ST. Polten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SKN ST. Polten hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Cup, while SKN ST. Polten holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SKN ST. Polten

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

SKN ST. Polten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TWL ElektraLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SKN ST. PoltenDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TWL ElektraSKN ST. Polten
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power80.3
1.74xG2.40
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