Twentevs
PSV Eindhoven
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven
Original prediction
Twente
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 33.5% | 38.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 43.0% | 37.7% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Twente
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Twente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TwenteWWDWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PSV EindhovenWDWWW
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TwentePSV Eindhoven
66.7Attack100.0
72.2Defence61.1
72.2Form88.9
70.9Power82.4
1.68xG1.56