UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Twente

Twente

Home
L
12
Full time
Ferencvarosi TC

Ferencvarosi TC

Away
W
De Grolsch Veste
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Twente(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Ferencvarosi TC
Win probability
Twente
43%
Draw
26%
Ferencvarosi TC
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Twente
34
Ferencvarosi TC
34
Defence
Twente
0
Ferencvarosi TC
91
Momentum
Twente
0
Ferencvarosi TC
100
Danger (xG)
Twente
0.90
Ferencvarosi TC
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Twente)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ferencvarosi TC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Twente)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Ferencvarosi TC)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TwenteTwente
L
Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC
WWWDW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Twente43%
Draw26%
Ferencvarosi TC32%

Twente leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Twente head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at De Grolsch Veste in mixed form (L), while Ferencvarosi TC arrive in mixed form (W). Twente have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Ferencvarosi TC over 1 games.

Tactically, Ferencvarosi TC hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Twente defence (0/100), while Twente's attack faces a watertight Ferencvarosi TC backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Twente have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Ferencvarosi TC have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Ferencvarosi TC have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Twente and Ferencvarosi TC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Twente to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Twente 4270%, Draw 2570%, Ferencvarosi TC 3160%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Twente

Twente

L
@ PSV Eindhoven
17 May 2026
15
Ferencvarosi TC

Ferencvarosi TC

W
vs Vojvodina
16 Jul 2026
30
xG 0.0
W
@ Vojvodina
9 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
W
vs Qarabag
1 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Sabah FA
28 Jun 2026
11
W
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
16 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC?

GoalVio's model predicts Twente to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more