Twentevs
Fenerbahçe
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Twente are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80