Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Twente are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Beşiktaş are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 48.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 84.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80