Twentevs
ADO Den Haag
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Twente 2-0 ADO Den Haag
Original prediction
Twente
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 76.0% | 69.2% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.51 | 14.5% | 17.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 9.91 | 9.5% | 13.8% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–09%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Twente
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Twente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TwenteWDWWL
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ADO Den HaagLDLLL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TwenteADO Den Haag
66.7Attack40.0
66.7Defence6.7
66.7Form6.7
67.2Power22.3
3.02xG0.95