GGOALVIO

Netherlands · U21 Divisie 1 · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Twente / Heracles U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Twente / Heracles U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cambuur U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente / Heracles U21 hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the U21 Divisie 1, while Twente / Heracles U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Twente / Heracles U21

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

Twente / Heracles U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Twente / Heracles U21WWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Cambuur U21DWLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Twente / Heracles U21Cambuur U21
62.1Attack48.8
59.8Defence40.5
59.8Form50.0
60.2Power47.5
2.54xG1.08
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