Tvååkervs
Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tvååker 0-1 Trelleborg
Original prediction
Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 22.6% | 32.6% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 27.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.4% | 40.0% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80