Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tvååker 1-1 Rosengård
Original prediction
Rosengård
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.6% | 33.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.3% | 23.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.2% | 43.1% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TvååkerDLLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RosengårdDLWDL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TvååkerRosengård
43.6Attack53.3
48.7Defence52.0
43.6Form50.7
48.2Power53.6
1.33xG1.53