GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 4/7/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tvååker · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tvååker are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Oskarshamns AIK are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tvååker hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Ettan - Södra, while Tvååker holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tvååker

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Tvååker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TvååkerLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Oskarshamns AIKL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
TvååkerOskarshamns AIK
34.4Attack40.0
56.7Defence33.3
41.1Form37.8
45.6Power39.0
1.50xG0.93
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