Tvååkervs
Hässleholms IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hässleholms IF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tvååker 1-2 Hässleholms IF
Original prediction
Hässleholms IF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.9% | 31.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 27.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.2% | 41.4% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hässleholms IF
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Hässleholms IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20