GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 4/15/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eskilsminne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tvååker are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eskilsminne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eskilsminne hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Ettan - Södra, while Eskilsminne holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eskilsminne

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Eskilsminne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TvååkerLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EskilsminneLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TvååkerEskilsminne
34.4Attack56.7
56.7Defence62.2
41.1Form55.6
45.6Power58.8
0.81xG1.40
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