Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tvååker · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tvååker are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Astrio are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.6 against 61.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tvååker holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tvååker
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Tvååker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60