Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tvååker · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tvååker 0-0 AFC Malmo
Original prediction
Tvååker
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.4% | 39.8% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 27.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.6% | 33.0% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Tvååker
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Tvååker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TvååkerWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AFC MalmoDDLDL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TvååkerAFC Malmo
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power23.7
1.55xG1.01