Tvervs
Torpedo Vladimir
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tver · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tver 2-0 Torpedo Vladimir
Original prediction
Tver
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.3% | 36.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.6% | 30.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.1% | 32.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Tver
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Tver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TverDWDDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Torpedo VladimirLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TverTorpedo Vladimir
46.4Attack34.9
47.8Defence60.3
40.6Form46.0
46.0Power49.6
1.17xG1.01