GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tver · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tver are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Spartak Moscow 2 are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tver hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Second League - Group 2, while Tver holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tver

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Tver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TverLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak Moscow 2DDDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
TverSpartak Moscow 2
52.9Attack31.3
41.2Defence50.0
37.3Form31.3
44.6Power40.5
1.72xG0.99
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