Tvervs
Luki-Energiya
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luki-Energiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tver 2-1 Luki-Energiya
Original prediction
Luki-Energiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.3% | 32.3% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.9% | 28.1% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.8% | 39.6% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Luki-Energiya
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00