Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tver · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tver are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Irkutsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tver hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Second League - Group 2, while Tver holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tver
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
66.9%
Tver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40