Tvervs
Dinamo Vologda
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Vologda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tver 2-0 Dinamo Vologda
Original prediction
Dinamo Vologda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.3% | 34.2% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 24.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.1% | 41.2% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Vologda
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Dinamo Vologda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80