GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tver are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertanovo Moscow hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Second League - Group 2, while Chertanovo Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo Moscow

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TverWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Chertanovo MoscowWDLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TverChertanovo Moscow
52.9Attack59.3
41.2Defence68.5
37.3Form59.3
44.6Power62.6
1.02xG2.01
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