GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/21/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Sarajevo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tuzla City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FK Sarajevo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Sarajevo hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Premijer Liga, while FK Sarajevo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Sarajevo

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

FK Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuzla CityLWWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FK SarajevoWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tuzla CityFK Sarajevo
45.5Attack0.0
30.3Defence100.0
27.3Form33.3
35.8Power45.3
1.24xG1.70
View match centre →