Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tusker · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tusker 0-0 Homeboyz, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.2% | 43.0% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.1% | 33.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.6% | 23.1% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Tusker 0–0 Homeboyz
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Tusker
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Tusker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TuskerLLWLL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
HomeboyzDLLLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TuskerHomeboyz
46.1Attack32.4
74.5Defence72.5
63.7Form47.1
62.8Power52.2
0.85xG0.44