GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/26/2025, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportfreunde Schwaig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

TuS Geretsried are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportfreunde Schwaig are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Schwaig hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sportfreunde Schwaig holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Sportfreunde Schwaig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuS GeretsriedLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportfreunde SchwaigDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TuS GeretsriedSportfreunde Schwaig
26.7Attack66.7
20.0Defence60.0
33.3Form53.3
30.2Power59.6
1.09xG2.31
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