GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuS Geretsried are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuS GeretsriedDWDLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TuS GeretsriedHeimstetten
26.7Attack53.3
20.0Defence53.3
33.3Form46.7
30.2Power53.0
1.19xG2.01
View match centre →