GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/8/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuS Geretsried are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Heimstetten are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuS GeretsriedWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
HeimstettenDDDLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
TuS GeretsriedHeimstetten
26.7Attack53.3
20.0Defence53.3
33.3Form46.7
30.2Power53.0
1.19xG2.01
View match centre →