TuS Geretsriedvs
Erlbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/27/2025, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
TuS Geretsried are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20