GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/11/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tus Dassendorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Tus Dassendorf are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Sasel are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tus Dassendorf hold a 42.7-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Tus Dassendorf holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tus Dassendorf

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Tus Dassendorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tus DassendorfWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
SaselWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.75/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Tus DassendorfSasel
100.0Attack33.3
88.9Defence33.3
77.8Form50.0
83.3Power40.7
3.05xG1.34
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