GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/20/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freialdenhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuS BW Königsdorf are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Freialdenhoven hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Freialdenhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Freialdenhoven

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Freialdenhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuS BW KönigsdorfLLWLW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FreialdenhovenLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
TuS BW KönigsdorfFreialdenhoven
47.8Attack54.0
45.6Defence50.6
40.0Form41.4
45.7Power48.8
1.57xG1.69
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