GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TuS BW Königsdorf are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuS BW KönigsdorfLDDWD

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TuS BW KönigsdorfBergisch Gladbach
47.8Attack60.9
45.6Defence64.4
40.0Form66.7
45.7Power63.8
1.07xG2.00
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