GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/4/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Turris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Audace Cerignola are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turris hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Turris holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turris

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Turris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TurrisLLDWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Audace CerignolaDDDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TurrisAudace Cerignola
83.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
51.0Power45.3
1.63xG1.32
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