Turrisvs
Audace Cerignola
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/4/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Turris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Audace Cerignola are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turris hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Turris holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turris
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Turris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80