GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/16/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Cruz FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santa Cruz FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Turrialba Fc hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Cruz FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Cruz FC

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Santa Cruz FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Santa Cruz FCDWLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Turrialba FcSanta Cruz FC
28.1Attack0.0
10.4Defence0.0
18.8Form0.0
22.4Power7.0
1.00xG2.02
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