GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/24/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

71.8%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Turrialba FcSanta Ana
28.1Attack33.3
10.4Defence100.0
18.8Form100.0
22.4Power80.3
0.74xG2.48
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