GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/27/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

71.8%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santa AnaLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Turrialba FcSanta Ana
28.1Attack33.3
10.4Defence100.0
18.8Form100.0
22.4Power80.3
0.74xG2.48
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