GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 42.4-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

73.4%

Model confidence

73.4%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalupe FCWLDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Turrialba FcGuadalupe FC
28.1Attack66.7
10.4Defence50.0
18.8Form66.7
22.4Power64.8
0.80xG2.68
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