GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/28/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

82.5%

Model confidence

82.5%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Turrialba FcEscorpiones Belén
28.1Attack76.7
10.4Defence42.5
18.8Form58.3
22.4Power58.9
0.94xG3.82
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