GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/2/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

82.5%

Model confidence

82.5%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Escorpiones BelénWWLDD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Turrialba FcEscorpiones Belén
28.1Attack76.7
10.4Defence42.5
18.8Form58.3
22.4Power58.9
0.94xG3.82
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