GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Uruguay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Turrialba Fc are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CS Uruguay hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (22.4 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while CS Uruguay holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Uruguay

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

CS Uruguay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Turrialba FcLLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
CS UruguayDDLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcCS Uruguay
28.1Attack33.3
10.4Defence50.0
18.8Form16.7
22.4Power36.5
0.88xG2.13
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